Prediction challenge

A fundraiser with no pot to split and no draw.

A prediction challenge: supporters buy a slot on a grid of finish times, and the closest guess without going over takes the prize.

One campaign has run: David riding Elgin to Dornoch, 14 August 2026. The grid sold out.

Measured

What the one campaign did

Ran 20 July 2026 to 14 August 2026. Every figure below carries the query that produced it — hover any tile.

Raised
£2,020.00
Paid transactions on the campaign draw
Supporters
80
97 entries
Grid
361 / 361
Slots confirmed — sold out
On the grid
69
69 recorded consents

The grid sold out.

All 361 slots confirmed — every thirty-second interval between 06:00:00 and 09:00:00 was taken. There was nothing left to sell three weeks after it opened and a day before the ride.

First slot 22 July 2026 · last slot 13 August 2026

Mechanics

The rules are configuration, not code

Read from the campaign's own record — the window, the interval, how a winner is picked, what happens on a tie and what happens if the rider does not finish.

06:00:00 to 09:00:00, every 30 seconds361 slots

The grid a supporter picks from. Three hours of finish times at thirty-second resolution.

Closest without going overclosest_without_going_over

The nearest guess that does not exceed the actual time — so a wild over-guess cannot win.

Tie breakearliest_confirmed

If two people hold the same winning time, the one who bought first takes it.

If the rider does not finishfree_draw

If the rider does not finish, the prize goes to a free draw among entrants rather than being withdrawn.

Compliance

A different regulatory footing from a draw

free_entryminimum age 18

The challenge runs as a free-entry prize competition, not a lottery. That is a different regulatory footing from a 50/50 draw and is recorded on the challenge row itself, alongside a free entry route, a minimum age of 18 and a versioned terms record — so the basis a campaign ran on can be read back years later rather than reconstructed.

On the recorded result

No finish time is recorded against this campaign. The result was published as a manual override, and the time column is deliberately NULL rather than zero — during the 2026-09-11 backfill it was briefly written as 00:00:00 because `Number(null)` is 0 and `Number.isInteger(0)` is true. That was corrected the same day. In that column NULL means 'no result was taken' and 0 would mean 'a measured time of zero'; they are opposite claims and must not be conflated.

Result published 21 August 2026.

Platform

A one-off campaign became a configurable product.

The mechanic is now part of the core platform as draw type 6, with 22 API routes and seven tables, rather than a bespoke build that dies with its campaign. A slot is claimed by ONE conditional UPDATE and the row count is the answer — the original site built its 'taken' set in the browser and sold three finish times twice.

22
API routes
7
Tables
141
Commits this year

Built, not yet switched on

PREDICTION_CHALLENGES_ENABLED is OFF in production as of 2026-09-11. The code is deployed; the feature is not switched on for clubs. Two further flags gate result publishing and each front end separately, and all are unset.

What this page does not claim

  • — Repeat rate — there has been one campaign, so there is nothing to repeat yet.
  • — Cost of acquisition per supporter — not tracked for this campaign.
  • — What the two entry tiers sold at during the live campaign. The tier rows (£10 for 2 predictions, £20 for 5) were created on 2026-09-11 as part of generalising the format, so they describe the product now, not necessarily what was on sale in July.

Measured read-only against the Play Fund Win production database on 11 September 2026. Commit and pull-request figures come from src/data/devlog.json.

Investment warning: Don't invest unless you're prepared to lose all the money you invest. This is a high-risk, illiquid, early-stage investment and there is no secondary market for the shares. Nothing on this site is financial advice or an offer of securities. Please read the full risk disclosures before proceeding.
Meet the Team

Founder-led. Built to scale.

Play Fund Win is led by experienced operators with a track record across sport, charity and fundraising technology.

Dean Lynn
Co-Founder
Co-Founder

Dean Lynn

Founder of Play Fund Win. Built the platform from the ground up — launching in 2020 and taking it into Premier League club foundations, national charities and grassroots clubs across the UK. Now leading European expansion with a lean, AI-augmented operating model.

Draws delivered for the Chelsea, Crystal Palace, Manchester City and Newcastle United club foundations
Crystal Palace's Palace for Life raised £147,134 and Chelsea's Lucky Blues £190,060 on the platform
Leading the European expansion plan
Building fundraising technology since Play Fund Win launched in 2020
Steve Lightfoot
Co-Founder
Co-Founder

Steve Lightfoot

Co-Founder of Play Fund Win. Brings deep commercial leadership across sport, fundraising and partnerships — driving the platform's growth into club foundations, elite clubs and live event partners. Leads commercial strategy, key account growth and European market entry.

Deep commercial leadership across sport, fundraising and partnerships
Drives growth into club foundations and elite clubs
Leads key account growth and partner relationships
Leading European market-entry planning

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